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Noel News

14th September 2011

Noel News

In This Issue...

1. Welcome

2. More Super Changes

3. Jim Rohn

4. And finally...

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Whittaker McNaught

Do you know the difference between education and experience? Education is when you read the fine print; experience is what you get when you don't."
— Pete Seeger
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Welcome to the latest edition of Noel News. Thanks for all your kind comments. Please continue to send feedback through; it's always appreciated and helps us to improve the newsletter.

And don't forget you'll get much more regular communications from me if you follow me on twitter - #NoelWhittaker.

Noel Whittaker
Noel Whittaker
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Welcome

Welcome to our September newsletter - I have had a very busy couple of weeks as I am leaving for three weeks holiday in America and Canada tomorrow and have many columns to write before I leave. 

The big news this week has been the visit of American author Harry Dent who is promoting his book “The Great Crash Ahead - How to Prosper in the Debt Crisis of 2010-2012”.  The media loves bad news so of course he has been generating a lot of scary headlines including the one that house prices in Australia will revert to 2000 levels.  If that is the case the average house in Sydney will fall to $301,000, Melbourne $242,000 and Brisbane $143,000. 

Of course it is most unlikely that that would happen - most properties are selling at below replacement cost now - and if there is one thing an Australian hangs on to, it’s the family home. 

Last Monday the Australian published some of Dent’s other predictions from his book “How to Profit from the Greatest Boom in History 2006”.  These included the Dow hitting $40,000 by 2010 and the NASDAC being potentially $20,000 by 2009.  The boom should last from late 2009 to early 2010”.

The Australian pointed out that a mutual fund known as the AIM Dent Demographic Trends Funds which follow his principles once had $2bn in assets.  It was merged into another now extinct mutual fund when only 20% of its assets were left.  Dent claimed the poor performance was due to the fund not taking all of his advice. 

I have spent over 40 years in the financial services industry and have never yet found anybody who can consistently and accurately forecast the future.  My advice is still to buy quality assets, keep a diversified portfolio and stick with them through thick and thin. 

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More Super Changes

It’s been nearly 30 years since superannuation was available to all - ever since there has been a multitude of changes as successive governments have tried to “refine” the system.

Because superannuation is the best taxation minimisation vehicle around, there have always been attempts to minimise the amount that could be contributed to it, or held within it.

Initially everybody was allowed to retire with seven times their final average salary over three years. However, in 1988 to prevent abuse by high income earners, they introduced Reasonable Benefit Limits (RBLs) which reduced the scale of benefit multiples as salary increased.

In 1994, to make it simpler, the Howard Government introduced standardised RBLs which allowed everybody a maximum of $400,000 if the benefit was taken as a lump sum, and $800,000 if half the benefit was taken as a complying annuity. These numbers were indexed and were close to $650,000 and $1,300,000 by 2006.

The RBLs were a nightmare to keep track of, and were often subject to mistakes by the Tax Office. I remember vividly the irate correspondence that came from clients when they received an incorrect assessment - usually a heavy penalty. 

In August 1996 the Howard Government made one of their biggest blunders of all time - they introduced the Superannuation Surcharge which hit all contributors who had an ‘adjusted taxable income’ (ATI) of more than $70,000 in that financial year, with a sliding scale penalty of up to 15% of deductible contributions.

The surcharge was an even bigger nightmare than the RBLs, as ATI’s were extremely difficult to track and calculate. It is estimated that the superannuation industry spent more than $400 million in administration costs just trying to extract the surcharge from their members - almost as much as the surcharge raised.

In 2005, much to the relief of everybody in the industry, the surcharge was abolished.

Superannuation got a boost in the May 2006 Budget when the Howard Government atoned for their previous sins by totally reforming it. The unwieldy RBLs were abolished, as were taxes on the end benefit for the over 60s, and the complex contribution calculations were replaced with standard caps for deductible contributions of $25,000 for the under 50s and $50,000 for the over 50s.

That’s about as perfect as the system could get, but the incoming Labor government decided the caps were too generous, and with effect from June 2012 reduced the $50,000 cap for older people to just $25,000.

It was a bad decision because the period from age 50 to 65 is the time when most Australians are likely to have surplus cash-flow with which to boost their super. After pressure, the government announced in May 2010 that those with a balance of less than $500,000 next June would be able to continue to contribute $50,000 until their balance reached $500,000.

That’s easy in theory, but hell in practice - this is why the government has spent the last fifteen months trying to find a definition of $500,000. If it is to be the fund balance at 30th June, it will be subject to performance of the markets on that day, but in any event it will be necessary to include all previous withdrawals. 

Most people 55 and over who are properly advised will be on a transition to retirement pension, which means they are withdrawing money from their super at the same time as they are making contributions. I am told that Treasury expects that all such withdrawals will not be just counted - they will also be required to be indexed!

The super funds don’t have the software to do this, and if the proposal goes ahead, they will be in an even worse position than when the dreaded surcharge was forced upon them. It’s RBL’s by stealth.

The Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia and other providers have come up with a brilliant idea to solve the problem - just have a standard cap of $35,000 applying to anybody over 50. 

How could anybody disagree. It would retain the simplicity of the system, eliminate the need for the industry to waste hundreds of millions of dollars on compliance and also give those nearing retirement a chance to boost their superannuation balances.

For all our sakes let’s hope Treasury listens.

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Jim Rohn

I have long been a follow of Jim Rohn’s teachings and every Tuesday morning I send our staff, and my family, Jim’s weekly newsletter. 

Yesterday I had to speak at a morning tea for John Marshall, one of our senior advisers who is retiring after 20 years service.  John took as his theme the following thoughts from Jim Rohn that I had circulated yesterday morning.  His theme was that entering retirement was like becoming a child again.  It was so good I thought I would share it with you today.

Practice Being Like a Child by Jim Rohn
Remember the master teacher said 2000 years ago, “Unless you can become like little children, your chances are zero, you haven’t got a prayer.” A major consideration for adults.
Be like children and remember there are four ways to be more like a child no matter how old you get -

Curiosity - Be curious. Childish curiosity. Learn to be curious like a child. What will kids do if they want to know something bad enough? You’re right. They will bug you. Kids can ask a million questions. You think they’re through. They’ve got another million. They will keep plaguing you. They can drive you right to the brink.

Also kids use their curiosity to learn. Have you ever noticed that while adults are stepping on ants, children are studying them? A child’s curiosity is what helps them to reach, learn and grow.

Excitement - Learn to get excited like a child. There is nothing that has more magic than childish excitement. So excited you hate to go to bed at night. Can’t wait to get up in the morning. So excited that you’re about to explode. How can anyone resist that kind of childish magic? Now, once in awhile I meet someone who says, “Well, I’m a little too mature for all that childish excitement.”  Isn’t that pitiful? You’ve got to weep for these kinds of people. All I’ve got to say is, “If you’re too old to get excited, you’re old.” Don’t get that old.
   
Faith - Faith like a child. Faith is childish. How else would you describe it? Some people say, “Let’s be adult about it.” Oh no. No. Adults too often have a tendency to be overly skeptical. Some adults even have a tendency to be cynical. Adults say, “Yeah. I’ve heard that old positive line before. It will be a long day in June before I fall for that positive line. You’ve got to prove to me it’s any good.” See, that’s adult, but kids aren’t that way. Kids think you can get anything. They are really funny. You tell kids, “We’re going to have three swimming pools.” And they say, “Yeah. Three. One each. Stay out of my swimming pool.” See, they start dividing them up right away, but adults are not like that. Adults say, “Three swimming pools? You’re out of your mind. Most people don’t even have one swimming pool. You’ll be lucky to get a tub in the back yard.” You notice the difference? No wonder the master teacher said, “Unless you can become like little children, your chances, they’re skinny.”

Trust - Trust is a childish virtue, but it has great merit. Have you heard the expression “sleep like a baby”? That’s it. Childish trust. After you’ve gotten an A+ for the day, leave it in somebody else’s hands.

Curiosity, excitement, faith and trust. Wow, what a powerful combination to bring (back) into our lives.

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And finally...

Long time readers will know I detest political correctness and all the useless warnings that are now put on products.  Just last week I bought a bottle of water whose labelling included “this bottle contains 100% water… store in a cool dry place… refrigerate after opening”.  It even had a helpline number! 

Yesterday I bought some sleeping tablets for the plane trip and they contained a warning “this product may cause drowsiness”.  I would be very disappointed if they didn’t. 

The following examples have been sent to me by readers about the futility of some management jargon. 

1.  “When I worked for a company, I found the phrase going forward to be more sinister than annoying. When used by my boss - sorry, “team leader” - it was understood to mean that the topic of conversation was at an end and not be discussed again.”

2.  “My employers (top half of FTSE 100) recently informed staff that we are no longer allowed to use the phrase brain storm because it might have negative connotations associated with fits. We must now take idea showers. I think that says it all really.”

3. At my old company (a US multinational), anyone involved with a particular product was encouraged to be a product evangelist. And software users these days, so we hear, want to be platform atheists so that their computers will run programs from any manufacturer.”

4.  “Incentivise is the one that does it for me.”

5.  “My favourite which I hear from the managers at the bank I work for is let’s touch base about that offline. I think it means have a private chat but I am still not sure.”

6.  “Have you ever heard the term loop back which means go back to an associate and deal with them?”

7.  “We used to collect the jargon used in a list and award the person with the most at the end of the year. The winner was a client manager with the classic you can’t turn a tanker around with a speed boat change…. what?

Second was “we need a holistic, cradle-to-grave approach” - whatever that is….

8.  “We too used to have daily paradigm shifts, now we have stakeholders who must come to the party or be left out, or whatever.”

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